Thursday, January 10, 2019

Neither Side Made a Good Case during the Trump vs. Pelosi and Schumer Shutdown Debate


Border Wall, Department of Homeland Security

Last Tuesday night, President Donald Trump gave a much-disparaged televised speech about immigration, the government shutdown, and his proposed border wall. Democratic leaders Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer gave the also-maligned televised Democratic rebuttal. “Rebuttal” and “response” are debate terms. I was a high school and college debater and later a college debate coach and judge. Academic debate judges not only pick a winner, but also score the debaters. Judging as I would judge a high school or college debate contest, Trump squeaked out as the clear winner (because he set the agenda, and Pelosi and Schumer never reset it), but I would give all three of them rock-bottom scores.

Traditional debate theory says that, to win a debate, the side that wants change (Trump and his wall, in this case) must (1) prove that there is a need, (2) show what causes the need, (3) explain why the proposed solution will work, and (4) show that any disadvantages are minor. Trump failed to prove that the lack of a wall caused the need, while Pelosi and Schumer neglected to propose an adequate solution of their own.

Why Trump failed in this debate
Trump did a half-way decent job of showing that there is something wrong. He cited several cases of crimes that unauthorized immigrants committed: “Over the years, thousands of Americans have been brutally killed by those who illegally enter a country, and thousands more lies will be lost if we don’t act right now.” He also said that “Our southern border is a pipeline of vast quantities of illegal drugs, including meth, heroin, cocaine, and fentanyl. . . . More Americans will die from drugs this year they were killed in the entire Vietnam War.” His figures may not have been exactly right, but they were close enough to show that illegal border crossings cause a serious problem.

What he failed to show, however, is that these people and drugs got into the United States by crossing unsecured portions of the border. Challenging Trump, fact checkers noted that most illegal drugs are smuggled through customs portals. The president’s claims were not necessarily inaccurate, but they were not a valid reason to accept his solution, which was to build a wall. If drugs are being smuggled past customs agents, the government should upgrade the United States Customs, rather than build a wall.

Likewise, although some unauthorized immigrants do commit violent crimes (maybe not as many crimes as citizens, but crimes all the same) Mr. Trump did not establish that they were walking across unsecured border regions. Did they enter the country legally, and then overstay their visas? If so, a wall will not stop them.

Why Pelosi and Schumer failed in this debate
Right after Trump's speech, Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi and Democratic Senate leader Chuck Schumer gave their rebuttal. They got many of their facts more or less right. They complained that much of what Trump has said during the shutdown “has been full of misinformation and even malice.” Well, yes. What else would you expect?

Pelosi noted that the House of Representatives had passed “bipartisan bills.” In modern political talk, finding that an idea has even a little bit of support from Democrats and Republicans alike makes people think that it’s automatically wonderful. But what was in these bills? And why were they good? Pelosi and Schumer never said.

Pelosi and Schumer, while agreeing that there was a need to have more border security (conceding Trump’s main point!), said that the wall was a waste of money and that the shutdown harmed government workers who were not being paid.

Pelosi briefly mentioned a few solutions: “we can build the infrastructure and roads at our points of entry; we can install new technology to scan cars and trucks for drugs coming in our nation; we can hire the personnel we need to facilitate trade and immigration at the border; and we can find more innovation to detect unauthorized crossings.”

These were not arguments; they were talking points. What new technology? Would the new technology do any good? Anybody can imagine that the wall will slow border crossings. Will the technology be as impressive? Many people see the wall as a strong, powerful solution. Did Pelosi prove that her alternate solutions would do any good? No, she did not. She didn’t even try.

Schumer’s proposed solutions were even more cryptic: “We can secure our border without an expensive, ineffective wall. And we can welcome legal immigrants and refugees without compromising safety and security. The symbol of America should be the Statue of Liberty, not a 30-foot wall.”

We can secure the border without a wall? How? What security methods did Schumer want? He didn’t say. He probably didn’t know. How can we welcome refugees safely? I am sure it could be done, but how? Schumer didn’t say.

Finally, as I have said many times in this blog, the side that controls the agenda usually wins the debate. Trump controlled the agenda. Pelosi and Schumer conceded the need for more border security. They objected to Trump’s solution, which was a wall, but as they presented them, their solutions seemed singularly unconvincing. Trump did indeed use fear appeals, but, by conceding the need for change, Pelosi and Schumer acknowledged that his fear appeals had at least some validity. Oops! They let Trump drive the agenda. Trump won this exchange. No question. Will he get his wall? Who knows?

Trump’s presentation was below his usual standard, while Pelosi and Schumer sounded, well, a bit pathetic. The biggest problem, however, is that all three of the speakers regurgitated talking points that their advisors and partisan media fed to them; none of them dug into the issues deeply enough to make a convincing argument.

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