Donald Trump, White House photo |
Yes (sigh), once again, Donald Trump needed research. Trump’s town
hall yesterday at the Lincoln Memorial, although bizarre, was no more
bizarre than his usual public presentations. He made simple factual errors that could have been easily prevented. All he needed was a few minutes of research.
Of his many odd statements, what struck
me most was his ignorant comment about the 1918 flu epidemic:
"So in 1917, we had a horrible, that case was the flu, you remember the Spanish flu? So much has been written about it, now of course it’s the hottest.”
He continued:
“Everybody that writes a book about the Spanish flu of 1917, it killed between I guess 50 to a hundred million people. It probably ended the first world war because the soldiers were all getting sick. It was the worst the world has ever seen that we know of.”
Speakers need research, and Trump didn’t have it.
First, the so-called Spanish flu broke out in the spring of
1918, not 1917. Somehow, Trump seems to have in his head that it started in
1917 and he has been unable to get that straight. The History
Channel website, for instance, explains that: “The first wave of the 1918
pandemic occurred in the spring and was generally mild.” For a more prestigious
source, we can turn to an article in the scientific journal Revista
Biomedica, where scientists Jeffery
K. Taubenberger and David M. Morens explain that “The ‘Spanish’ influenza
pandemic of 1918–1919, which
caused ≈50
million deaths worldwide, remains
an ominous warning to public health.”
Second, although the influenza epidemic spread across the
world and infected many service personnel, it did not end World War I. A simple
glance at credible
sources (like the History Channel) would establish that the 1918 (not 1917)
influenza pandemic swept through the United States Army and Navy, and yet the
United States was on the winning side. An article
in the scientific journal Virology
gives similar information in more depth.
I assume (it’s not entirely certain, given his comments) that
Trump understood that the United States did, in fact, fight on the winning side? If
not, research makes that information available as well. For example, an article on the Imperial
War Museum website explains the 1918 armistice’s terms. The United
States Library of Congress offers a PDF file of the armistice’s actual
text.
The sources that I cited are easy to find. I avoided
sources like Wikipedia or other encyclopedias and instead looked for
information published by responsible people and organizations. Primary sources,
such as the actual text of the armistice, are especially credible. I was
careful not to rely just on one source for potentially controversial
information. It didn’t take me long to get the basic facts. The History Channel website
shows up prominently on a Google or Bing search, whereas Google Scholar (https://scholar.google.com/) offers
quality academic sources, often with full-text links, at the click of a button.
Mike Lee Tries to Make Fun of the Green New Deal but Only Makes Fun of Himself (P.S. Speakers Need Research)
If he decides to stop making silly mistakes, Mr. Trump can make either of two choices: (1)
he can get on his famous cell phone and look up simple facts, or (2) he could
ask his advisors for some quick research before (not after) he opens his mouth.
Neither method would take any more time than sending out four or five rage
tweets
Millions of people believe the President of the United States
just because he is the President. That means that the President of the United
States really should make basic efforts to get his facts right. At the same
time, the more mistakes the President makes, the less likely it is that people
will believe him in the future. Even slavish acolytes might have limits. Trump’s
political prospects could improve if he didn’t make so many silly mistakes and
commit so many unforced research errors.
P.S.: Many of the things we learn in school become out of date
20 or 30 years later. That is why the most important thing you can get out of
high school and college is to learn how to locate and evaluate quality, credible information
for yourself. Learning and education are lifelong tasks.
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